Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 11.002601 12.211760 13.512634 15.018531 16.716609 18.575359 20.768428
2025-08-31 9.071660 10.713924 12.608502 14.965239 17.831338 21.220208 25.554829
2025-09-07 7.881592 9.813765 12.180298 15.314521 19.389741 24.554396 31.667382
2025-09-14 6.799824 8.854012 11.501555 15.202893 20.305526 27.183002 37.308649
2025-09-21 5.894739 7.975413 10.777565 14.884416 20.846295 29.336772 42.617735
2025-09-28 5.241381 7.336902 10.271928 14.760608 21.590998 31.824960 48.765433
2025-10-05 4.888749 7.066759 10.232989 15.276883 23.310045 35.959055 58.105584
2025-10-12 4.575542 6.809735 10.169731 15.727019 24.960538 40.193391 68.324576
2025-10-19 4.226014 6.453870 9.906842 15.813135 26.009022 43.559993 77.606873
2025-10-26 3.877709 6.060242 9.535804 15.664374 26.619486 46.229679 86.052995
2025-11-02 3.561903 5.685464 9.152199 15.439480 27.049096 48.607812 94.329409
2025-11-09 3.277885 5.334938 8.771159 15.168272 27.345425 50.755253 102.498927
2025-11-16 3.033637 5.035025 8.456695 14.998164 27.843161 53.433755 112.482574
2025-11-23 2.832192 4.791141 8.216979 14.939597 28.552401 56.654366 124.365624
2025-11-30 2.708939 4.673791 8.191585 15.285129 30.120215 61.919735 142.167807
2025-12-07 2.535465 4.449854 7.948029 15.172038 30.715585 65.164976 155.780085
2025-12-14 2.353528 4.194637 7.621595 14.853359 30.823104 67.321362 167.093329
2025-12-21 2.212724 4.004658 7.402182 14.729326 31.339694 70.506117 181.881849
2025-12-28 2.155293 3.969044 7.480690 15.244063 33.381260 77.719895 209.748144
2026-01-04 2.093921 3.920141 7.527139 15.692932 35.331937 85.054741 239.961287
2026-01-11 2.000789 3.800250 7.417157 15.778739 36.413170 90.318837 265.247890
2026-01-18 1.893180 3.642648 7.214762 15.630290 36.888292 94.033048 286.566243
2026-01-25 1.787402 3.480952 6.990193 15.405918 37.138898 97.170641 306.845589